2010 Big East Conference Tournament Preview

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/08/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - While there are several teams projected to make it to the NCAA Tournament, there's only one guaranteed bid that comes out of the massive 16-team beast that is the 31st annual Big East Conference Tournament.

Finishing as one of the top four teams in the standings means programs like Syracuse, Pittsburgh, West Virginia and Villanova all received double-byes in the event and won't see action until the quarterfinal round on Thursday. Coincidentally as of Sunday, all four of those teams were members of the AP Top-25, three of them in the top-10. Toss in second-tier Georgetown, which along with Notre Dame, Louisville, and Marquette all get a single bye into the second round of the tourney, as another nationally-ranked squad and there's no question this league could produce anywhere from five to eight teams worthy of NCAA Tournament consideration.

Top-seeded Syracuse (28-3, 15-3), a team that a few years ago came out of nowhere to capture this tournament title, lost a total of just three games all season long, although two of them were against Louisville (11-7, 20-11), so anything is possible. Opponents of the Orange need only to look back as far as the second exhibition game of 2009-10 to see that SU is vulnerable as it lost to little-known Le Moyne. Granted, that decision meant nothing in the grand scheme of things, but it at least provides hope to any opponent that will now lace 'em up against the 'Cuse. Then again, the Orange sport the league's largest scoring margin this season at plus-15.3 ppg, thanks to guys like All- Big East First-Team member Wes Johnson, who was responsible for 15.7 ppg and placed fifth in the league with his 8.5 rpg. All-Big East Second-Team selection Andy Rautins was responsible for 11.6 ppg and a team-best 149 assists, but perhaps his biggest attribute is his defense, which has generated 64 steals and countless frustrated opponents.

The Pittsburgh Panthers (24-7, 13-5) survived several bumps in the road during one stretch of league play when they fell in four of five games in late January, but the team closed out with three straight wins and eight in the last nine to represent one of the hottest teams in the conference and earn the No. 2 seed in this tournament as a result. Surprisingly, only sophomore guard Ashton Gibbs earned all-conference recognition with his inclusion on the Second Team after leading the program in scoring (16.2 ppg) and shooting both 40.4 percent from three-point range and 89 percent at the free-throw line in 2009-10. Brad Wanamaker has proven himself to be a scorer (12.0 ppg), rebounder (5.7 rpg) and playmaker (146 assists), and deserved a spot on one of the league's all-conference teams for his efforts. A fixture in the tournament title game in recent years, the Panthers have played in seven of the last nine championship bouts, but only once (2003) have they taken home the crown during that stretch.

West Virginia (24-6, 13-5) opened the campaign with 11 straight wins, but it took a thrilling 68-66 overtime win on the road in Philadelphia against Villanova this past weekend to earn the squad the third seed in the tournament. Senior forward Da'Sean Butler had countless critical plays throughout the regular season and because of that, along with his 17.2 ppg, 6.3 rpg, and team-leading 99 assists, he was named to the All-Big East First Team. Kevin Jones (13.5 ppg, 7.4 rpg) and Devin Ebanks (12.4 ppg, 8.3 rpg) gave the squad that strength and tenacity that it needed on the inside and because of all three of those performers the Mountaineers produced one of the most well-rounded rebounding efforts in the conference, holding an advantage of almost seven boards per game over the competition. Surprisingly, WVU has a record of just 9-13 in this event and is one of seven current members that has never won the tournament title.

Scoring a league-leading 82.8 ppg, the fourth-seeded Villanova Wildcats (24-6. 13-5) appeared to be the team to beat in the conference early on, but in the final weeks of the regular season the squad showed numerous flaws and came back to the rest of the pack. Senior guard Scott Reynolds, the lone unanimous decision for All-Big East First Team, attacked league opponents with 42 percent shooting behind the three-point line and 19.9 ppg, but he'll need to get help from players in the paint if the Wildcats are going to claim their first tournament title since 1995. Corey Fisher (13.6 ppg) and Antonio Pena (10.8 ppg, 7.4 rpg) are fine complementary players, but smart defenses know that Reynolds in the one who will be calling the shots and controlling the action most of the time.

The second tier of schools in the tournament, those that won't hit the hardwood until Wednesday in the Big Apple, begins with surprising No. 5 seed Marquette. The Golden Eagles (20-10, 11-7) lost to lowly DePaul early in the Big East schedule and played in no less than four overtime games in the last five contests of the regular season, which is why the squad's appearance in this spot is so stunning. Senior forward Lazar Hayward is a solid performer inside for Marquette with his 18.0 ppg and 7.8 rpg, but one cannot forget about Jimmy Butler who has generated 15.2 ppg and 6.5 rpg of his own, all while shooting 53.8 percent from the field. Then again, offense is not always the hot topic for the Golden Eagles, more like keeping up a stout defense that was second in the league this year with just 63.6 ppg allowed. Then again, with the offense humming along so well for much of the season, Marquette also enjoys the second-best scoring margin in the league at plus-10.2 ppg.

With all the distractions of head coach Rick Pitino's life outside of basketball getting all the press before the season began, not to mention the rumors of him possibly leaving for the NBA once again, people forget to take into consideration what the Louisville Cardinals are capable of doing on the court. Louisville (20-11, 11-7) arrives in New York City as the sixth seed, even though the team lacked consistency in conference play. What gives the group credibility are the two wins over Syracuse this season, the most recent of those coming on Saturday afternoon in the final game played at famed Freedom Hall. Seeing as how someone like Kyle Kuric, a player who is now scoring just 4.1 ppg, wrote himself into UofL lore on Saturday by coming off the bench and single-handedly leading the Cards to the win over the Orange with his 22 points in the second half, is an indication of how anything is possible at any stage of this event. An all-conference performer this year, Samardo Samuels led the group in both scoring (15.4 ppg) and rebounding (7.1 rpg), while Edgar Sosa (12.8 ppg, 142 assists) tried to balance out some inconsistent play from time to time. An encouraging note for the program is that it ranks second in the league in three-point baskets made with eight per game.

Nearly an afterthought when projecting which teams might be making it to the NCAA Tournament, seventh-seeded Notre Dame (21-10, 10-8) has come on strong of late and doing it without three-time All-Big East First-Team selection Luke Harangody who has been watching from the sidelines the last few weeks after suffering a deep bone bruise on his right knee. Harangody, the only player in Big East history to finish his career with averages of better than 20 points and 10 rebounds per game, also finished third in conference regular-season play all-time with 1,329 points and second on the glass in such meetings with 662 boards. Again, it is not so much that the Fighting Irish are in this position, its the fact that they have made it to this stage by winning four straight to close out the regular season without the help of their star player. However, that's not to say that the Irish don't have a budding star in their midst right now, because junior forward Tim Abromaitis made the All-Big East Honorable Mention list after placing second on the team with his 17.2 ppg. Also boding well for the group is that it plays true team basketball in every sense of the word, placing second in the league in assists per game with 17.2 per outing.

Georgetown, the team that has the most conference tournament titles with seven, winning most recently in 2007, slipped up numerous times down the stretch and dropped all the way down to the eighth seed as a result. Off the court, the Hoyas (20-9, 10-8) were stunned to find out that All-Big East Second-Team member Austin Freeman was diagnosed with Diabetes barely a week ago, but he returned to action on Saturday under a physician's watchful eye and delivered a game-high 24 points in the win over Cincinnati at home. Obviously, Freeman's health is paramount and because of his condition he will be having his minutes monitored and that could spell trouble for the program if his rhythm is disrupted. However, Georgetown is not a one-trick pony because the cast in the nation's capital also includes All-Big East First-Team selection Greg Monroe, who not only averaged almost a double-double with his 16.0 points and 9.6 rebounds per contest, but was also second on the unit with 103 assists.

Now that all the big-name schools have been scrutinized, its time to take a look at the teams that will be taking part in the first round of the tournament on Tuesday afternoon, beginning with 16th-seeded DePaul and ninth- seeded South Florida. The Blue Demons (8-22, 1-17) picked up some early wins this season against weak opponents, at least by Big East standards, but then fell apart and as a result, dismissed head coach Jerry Wainwright in the midst of the all the turmoil. DePaul was last in the league in scoring at 61.4 ppg and was one of only two teams with a negative scoring margin on the campaign (minus-5.8 ppg). The team managed to take St. John's to triple-overtime in the regular-season finale last Friday, but still the 90-82 setback became just another piece in the team's current 12-game slide.

As for the Bulls (19-11, 9-9), they opened conference play with four straight losses and never fully recovered, even though at one point they posted back- to-back victories against both Pittsburgh and Georgetown. Any other year, beating UConn in the final game of the regular season would be a huge feat, but this time around it did little more than extend USF's current win streak to three games. Dominique Jones muscled his way onto the All-Big East First Team by averaging 21.3 ppg, 6.1 rpg and handing out 110 assists, but there's still no getting around the fact that South Florida is second-to-last in the league in three-point shooting at just 29.3 percent. Add to that the squad's mere 12.2 apg, second-fewest in the league ahead of only DePaul, and even if the Bulls get out of the first round, they won't likely go much further.

And the winner of the most enigmatic team this season goes to the UConn Huskies, the 12th seed in a tournament that it has won a total of six times previously. A program that is generally one of the most feared in the Big East, UConn (17-14, 7-11) may still be such an entity only because the competition, in this case 13th-seeded St. John's, has absolutely no idea what to expect. Head coach Jim Calhoun, who had to leave the team for several games for health reasons, after one game stated that he had never been so disappointed in his team's performance and effort. Whether that was meant to motivate the squad or not, the fact remains that the Huskies could easily miss out on the NCAA Tournament, a rarity for sure, but a reality nonetheless. Guards Jerome Dyson and Kemba Walker both made it onto the All-Big East Third Team as they averaged 17.7 and 14.9 ppg, respectively, and even though UConn again led the conference in blocked shots per game (7.8), those interior players are far less intimidating than their predecessors.

The fact that the Red Storm (16-14, 6-12), a team that is trying to get back to the title game for the first time since 2000 when it defeated UConn, had to go to triple-overtime in the final game against DePaul, is not a good sign for a squad that was thought to be on the rise. St. John's placed second from the bottom in scoring this season with 67.4 ppg, mostly because the group shot just 65 percent at the free-throw line and was 15th in the league in field goal shooting at 42.2 percent. DJ Kennedy is the top scorer for the group with 15.3 ppg and he is also first in both rebounding (6.2 rpg) and assists (91), but with the news that Dwight Hardy (10.5 ppg) is questionable for this tourney due to a sprained left knee, that means that someone, anyone will have to step up and fill in the gap.

Also clashing in the first round on Tuesday evening will be 15th-seeded Providence (4-14, 12-18) and 10th-seeded Seton Hall (18-11, 9-9). The Friars, who have been living off the promise stemming from their first and only conference tournament crown back in 1994, are actually the second-highest scoring team in the conference right now at 81.6 ppg, but that doesn't mean much when the group gives up a staggering 81.3 ppg and is considered one of the weakest defensive teams in the nation. PC comes into this event riding a 10-game losing streak. Were it not for an 81-66 win over UConn back in late January, a victory that in any other season would have really meant something, the Friars would be in even more dire straits. Jamine Peterson gives the squad hope with his 19.0 points and 10.0 rebounds per game, although his mere 53.9 percent shooting at the free-throw line and an average of barely one assist per game means the sophomore still has quite a bit of development ahead of him.

The Pirates cleaned up during the non-conference schedule with nine wins in 11 tries, losing only to Temple (now nationally ranked) and Virginia Tech (103-94) in overtime. The Hall finished strong with back-to-back wins and six in the last eight outings, although only the three-point victory over Notre Dame at home carries much weight at this point. An All-Big East Conference Second-Team choice this season, Jeremy Hazell finished third in scoring with 21.2 ppg and came within three of nailing 100 triples during the regular season. However, after Hazell there are few standout performers, rather a cast of complementary players who have stuck together in order to generate 80.3 ppg in order to rank fourth in the conference. Unfortunately, an unsteady defense has permitted opponents to tally 74.2 ppg this season. And when those foes miss the mark, rebounds are plentiful due to the fact that Seton Hall ranks last in the conference in rebounding defense with a staggering 39.4 boards per game surrendered.

Last, but not least, is the matchup between 14th-seeded Rutgers and 11th- seeded Cincinnati in the nightcap on Tuesday night. History has not been kind to the Bearcats in this event because the squad has yet to post a single win in three tries thus far. Cincinnati (16-14, 7-11) has just one win away from home since the first week of January and that came at UConn, which again is not all that impressive given the Jekyll-and-Hyde persona of the Huskies. The roster has several strong players in Lance Stephenson (12.0 ppg, 5.3 rpg) and Deonta Vaughn (11.2 ppg, 106 assists), but none that can necessarily put the team on his back and carry it to new heights. It also doesn't help that the Bearcats are ranked second-to-last in the league in free-throw shooting at just 61.6 percent.

The Scarlet Knights (15-16, 5-13) leaned heavily on Dane Miller (9.5 ppg, 6.0 rpg) this season, a unanimous choice for the Big East All-Rookie Team, but to expect him to be able to withstand the pressures of playing in the World's Most Famous Arena is asking far too much. The loss of Gregory Echenique, who had been a central figure in the team's interior, means Mike Rosario will continue to shoulder most of the load. Rosario leads the team in scoring with 16.4 ppg, but that shouldn't come as a surprise given that he attempted more shots in just league games than all of his teammates, except Jonathan Mitchell, had in all 31 contests this season. Unfortunately, Rosario made good on just 37.6 percent of those attempts and without much of a presence in the paint, Rutgers was one of only three teams in the Big East with a negative rebounding margin (-2.5 per game).

Wwwracingcasino NCAA Basketball Betting News


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College Football Betting Tips From a Pro

While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.

Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.

The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.

What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.

These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.

College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.

Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.

Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.

Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.

I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.

Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.

It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.

As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.

Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your NCAA college football betting needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.

Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com

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